Deconstructing The Iraq, Terrorist Fly Paper, Theory
Andrew Sullivan has taken note of an ongoing discussion as to why America has not been attacked in the past seven years. He posits that there are two possibilities that may provide the answer: the terrorist threat is overrated, or our defense is getting better.
One of Sullivan’s readers responded with the correct answer from my perspective, but Sullivan has characterized that answer in such a way as to make it seem that the Bush doctrine is working. Here is that exchange.
Reader: Why bother coming here (getting a visa, the travel, feeling out-of-place) to attack Americans, when one frustrated youth with jihadist tendencies from wherever can simply wander into Iraq or Afghanistan and do his best to take out US military personnel in uniform? There, you can at least blend into the local population, target not unarmed US civilians in shopping malls, -but uniformed, patriotic, heavily-armed Americans (who are light-years away from home and family, and all that’s familiar) - and be regarded as a hero to millions … all at the same time.
Sullivan: The flypaper theory works, in other words.
In fact, President Bush is fond of framing the flypaper theory with the following flawed logic: “We are fighting them there so we don’t have to fight them here.” So let me detail why the reader’s response to Sullivan is correct but the flypaper, fighting them over there, logic is patently wrong headed. (more…)
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