You may have read my ongoing series urging Dems to face the facts and acknowledge that OWS members are Dem-haters, not our allies, and intend to vote against Democrats to send a message, thereby electing Republicans. When it comes to politics, and in life, I support those who support “me and mine”. That is why I can no longer support OWS.
Obviously, their “we are the 99 percent” mantra is completely inaccurate, in fact, not even close. The typical break-down of registered voters by party affiliation is roughly 40% Republican, 40% Democrat, 20% Independent. Some say the number of Independents are growing, but I don’t buy it. They certainly are more vocal, and the media loves to make it all about them and screw the base. But with the increased polarization of the electorate, I believe the 40% supporting each party has become even more firmly committed.
Lets say, for the sake of argument, that one-quarter of the 40% of that make up Democrats still side with OWS (even though OWS hates Dems), 0% of Republicans side with OWS (some in the media say OWS has Republicans; I think its bull), and we’ll say there’s a generous one-half of Independents that side with OWS, or 10% of the electorate. So with the 10% Dems and the 10% Indies, that means 20% of the electorate sides with OWS. I think that’s probably too generous. And if OWS continues to trash Democrats, they will lose most of the Dems and eventually end up with just the 10% that are Indies or non-affiliated. Now, some of that 10% will be arrested during protests and possibly wind-up with a felony conviction, which means they cannot vote. Others may actually be in prison on election day, as I’m sure there will be an election day “DON’T VOTE” protest scheduled by OWS. And some will simply not vote at all. So of those OWS members who actually vote, that leaves roughly 9% of the electorate. So, OWS needs to change their mantra to:
Out of that 9% of the electorate supporting OWS, I believe its possible that 1-2% may decide to vote for Dems because they understand that voting for a third party will guarantee Republican victories. That brings it down to 7 percent. That’s the number Democrats need to overcome. We need enough voters to make-up for the 7% of voters who, in the past, would likely have voted for Dems. Plus there’s the number we need in order to overcome right-wing voter suppression efforts. Now the task looks more daunting, but not impossible … we hope.
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